Munkhbayasgalan Enkhtuvshin, Kang-Zhi Liu, Yanfang Wei, Cristian Sanabria, Kenta Koiwa, Tadanao Zanma
International Journal of Electrical Power & Energy Systems 148 108938-108938 2023年6月 査読有り
Smart grid allows the penetration of a high percentage of power from renewable energy sources (RES). The intermittent nature of RES makes accurate prediction of its output power impossible, and the prediction uncertainty is inevitable. This imposes a great challenge to the operation of smart grid. This paper focuses on photovoltaic (PV) generation and proposes a robust stochastic approach for the grid operation. First, we show that the uncertainty can be significantly reduced by the smoothing effect of PVs and build a simplified statistical model for the prediction of the total PV power, together with a bound of prediction uncertainty. After that, a criterion for the frequency maintenance is derived, which relates the allowable bound of frequency deviation to that of the PV power uncertainty. Then, a robust stochastic economic dispatch of the thermal power is formulated based on this criterion. Further, we propose an optimal PV dispatch method based on a peak-cut operation to maximize the PV output while guaranteeing the frequency performance. Finally, the operation performance is analyzed in detail on an annual basis by simulations using actual solar radiation data. It is revealed that the frequency quality is maintained with a 5% increase in fuel cost and an 11% reduction of PV power for a penetration ratio over 30%, compared with the case w/o frequency maintenance.