研究者業績

近藤 克則

コンドウ カツノリ  (Katsunori Kondo)

基本情報

所属
千葉大学 予防医学センター 特任教授 (名誉教授、グランドフェロー)
一般財団法人 医療経済研究・社会保険福祉協会 医療経済研究機構 研究部長 (Director of Research Department)
学位
博士(医学)(千葉大学)
博士(社会福祉学)(日本福祉大学)

J-GLOBAL ID
200901046026104368
researchmap会員ID
1000230928

外部リンク

1983年千葉大学医学部卒業.東京大学医学部付属病院リハビリテーション部医員, 船橋二和(ふたわ)病院リハビリテーション科科長などを経て, 1997年日本福祉大学助教授.University of Kent at Canterbury(イギリス)客員研究員(2000-2001),日本福祉大学教授を経て, 2014年4月から千葉大学教授,2016年4月から国立長寿医療研究センター老年学評価研究部長.「健康格差社会ー何が心と健康を蝕むのか」(医学書院,2005)で社会政策学会賞(奨励賞)受賞. 「健康格差縮小を目指した社会疫学研究」で,2020年「日本医師会医学賞」受賞


学歴

 1

論文

 741
  • Ahmed Arafa, Ehab S Eshak, Kokoro Shirai, Hiroyasu Iso, Katsunori Kondo
    Geriatrics & Gerontology International 21(6) 451-457 2021年6月  
  • Masashige Saito, Naoki Kondo, Jun Aida, Junko Saito, Hisataka Anezaki, Toshiyuki Ojima, Katsunori Kondo
    International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 18(10) 2021年5月2日  
    We evaluated differences in the cumulative benefit costs of public long-term care (LTC) insurance services by employment status and frequency of community activities. A baseline survey was conducted on functionally independent older people from 12 municipalities as a nationwide survey from 2010 to 2011. Employment status was dichotomized, and community activity was assessed based on the frequency of participation in hobbies, sports clubs, or volunteering. We followed the respondents’ LTC service costs over a period of 6 years using public LTC claim records (n = 46,616). We adopted a classical linear regression analysis and an inverse probability weighting estimation with multiple imputation for missing values. Compared with non-participation in each community activity, the cumulative LTC costs among individuals who participated in hobbies or sports group activities at least twice a week were 1.23 (95% confidence interval: 0.73–1.72) to 1.18 (0.68–1.67) thousand USD lower per person over the 6-year period (28.7% to 30.1% lower, respectively). Similarly, the costs for employed persons were 0.55 (0.20–0.90) to 0.64 (0.29–0.99) thousand USD per person lower than among retirees (14.5% to 16.9% lower). Promoting employment opportunities and frequent participation in community activities among older adults may help reduce future LTC costs by around 20% as a result of extending healthy longevity.
  • 小嶋 雅代, 上地 香杜, 安岡 実佳子, 渡邉 良太, 野木村 茜, 野口 泰司, 尾島 俊之, 近藤 克則
    日本老年医学会雑誌 58(Suppl.) 175-175 2021年5月  
  • 小嶋 雅代, 上地 香杜, 安岡 実佳子, 渡邉 良太, 野木村 茜, 野口 泰司, 尾島 俊之, 近藤 克則
    日本老年医学会雑誌 58(Suppl.) 175-175 2021年5月  
  • Hiroshi Hirai, Masashige Saito, Naoki Kondo, Katsunori Kondo, Toshiyuki Ojima
    International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 18(9) 2021年5月1日  
    This study aimed to determine the impact of physical activity on the cumulative cost of long-term care insurance (LTCI) services in a cohort of community-dwelling people (65 years and older) in Japan. Using cohort data from the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study (JAGES) on those who were functionally independent as of 2010/11, we examined differences in the cumulative cost of LTCI services by physical activity. We followed 38,875 participants with LTCI service costs for 59 months. Physical activity was assessed by the frequency of going out and time spent walking. We adopted a generalized linear model with gamma distribution and log-link function, and a classical linear regression with multiple imputation. The cumulative LTCI costs significantly decreased with the frequency of going out and the time spent walking after adjustment for baseline covariates. LTCI’s cumulative cost for those who went out once a week or less was USD 600 higher than those who went out almost daily. Furthermore, costs for those who walked for less than 30 min were USD 900 higher than those who walked for more than 60 min. Physical activity among older individuals can reduce LTCI costs, which could provide a rationale for expenditure intervention programs that promote physical activity.
  • Taro Kusama, Sakura Kiuchi, Noriko Umehara, Katsunori Kondo, Ken Osaka, Jun Aida
    Journal of Affective Disorders 286 174-179 2021年5月1日  
    Background: Depression is a major health problem among older adults, for which previous studies have suggested tooth loss as a risk factor. This study examined the mediating effect of oral function and orofacial appearance in the relationship between tooth loss and depression. Methods: This three-year follow-up longitudinal study was based on a self-reported questionnaire targeting community-dwelling older adults aged ≥65 years. We used the incidence of depressive symptoms during follow-up as the outcome, the number of remaining teeth (≥20/≤19) as the exposure, and the deterioration of oral function and orofacial appearance (speaking, smiling, and eating) as mediators. We fitted the logistic regression model including confounders and calculated the natural indirect effect (NIE), natural direct effect, and the proportion mediated (PM) by the deterioration of oral functions by applying the causal mediation analysis framework. Results: The mean age of the 8,875 participants was 72.7 years (1SD=5.5) and 48.0% were male. Depressive symptoms developed during follow-up in 11.5% of the participants (n=1,024). The incidence for those with ≤19 and ≥20 remaining teeth was 13.1% and 9.2%, respectively. Total effect of fewer remaining teeth (≤19) on depressive symptoms was OR=1.30 (95%CI=1.12–1.51). Difficulty in speaking (NIE OR=1.03, 95%CI=1.00–1.06, PM=12.4%), problems in smiling (NIE OR=1.04, 95%CI=1.01–1.07, PM=16.9%), and difficulty in chewing (NIE OR=1.05, 95%CI=1.02–1.09, PM=21.9%) significantly mediated the relationship. Limitation: Selection bias due to dropout. Conclusion: Deterioration of oral function and orofacial appearance were mediating factors of the mechanism for the relationship between tooth loss and the incidence of depressive symptoms.
  • Shihoko Koyama, Masashige Saito, Noriko Cable, Takaaki Ikeda, Taishi Tsuji, Taiji Noguchi, Hazem Abbas, Isao Miyashiro, Ken Osaka, Katsunori Kondo, Richard G Watt, Jun Aida
    Social science & medicine (1982) 277 113895-113895 2021年4月18日  
    In Western countries, the most important part of the face in communication is the mouth, whereas it is the eyes in Asian countries; thus oral health could be more important in social interactions in Western countries. Our aim was to examine differences in the association between oral health status and social isolation among older people by comparing Japan and England. We used cross-sectional information obtained from adults aged 65+ in two ongoing prospective cohort studies: The Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study (JAGES, N = 120,195) and the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA, N = 3,958). The dependent variable, social isolation score (SIS) was calculated from five factors (marital status, social support from children, social support from family, social support from friends, and social participation). The independent variables were self-reported number of remaining teeth (0, 1-9, 10-19, ≥20) and denture use (≥20 teeth, 10-19 teeth with denture, 10-19 teeth without denture, 0-9 teeth with denture, 0-9 teeth without denture), while the covariates in the model were: sex, age, educational attainment, self-rated health, number of comorbidities, household annual equivalized income, mental health status, daily living activities, and smoking status. We examined associations between oral health status and SIS by applying an ordered logit model by country. Compared to England, more Japanese participants were socially isolated (1.4% vs. 5.8%), but fewer were edentulous (13.1% vs. 7.7%). In both countries, poorer oral health further increased the odds of being socially isolated. Pooled analysis of the ordered logit model with an interaction term showed that the association of number of remaining teeth with SIS was stronger in edentulous participants and in England (odds ratio = 1.50, 95% Confidence interval:1.26-1.80). In both countries, oral health was associated with social isolation; this association could be stronger in England than in Japan.
  • Kousuke Iwai-Saito, Yugo Shobugawa, Jun Aida, Katsunori Kondo
    Scientific reports 11(1) 7966-7966 2021年4月12日  
    Pneumonia is a leading cause of mortality among older adults worldwide. Recently, several studies reported that frailty was associated with mortality among older adults hospitalized due to respiratory infectious diseases, including pneumonia. However, it is unknown whether frailty is associated with susceptibility to and severity of pneumonia in functionally-independent community-dwelling older adults. In this study, we examined whether frailty increased the susceptibility to pneumonia and hospitalization in older adults. We used cross-sectional data from the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study; the data was collected by using mail-based, self-reported questionnaires from 177,991 functionally-independent community-dwelling older adults aged ≥ 65 years. Our results showed that frailty was significantly associated with both occurrence of and hospitalization due to pneumonia after adjustments with covariates; (Preference ratio {PR} 1.92, 95% confidence interval {95% CI} [1.66-2.22] and PR 1.80, 95% CI [1.42-2.28], respectively, p < 0.001 for the both). Pre-frailty was associated only with the occurrence of pneumonia. Besides, the instrumental activity of daily living, physical strength, nutrition status, oral function, homeboundness, and depression status in frail older adults were associated with either or both occurrence of and hospitalization due to pneumonia. Our results suggest that frailty influenced the susceptibility to and severity of pneumonia in older adults.
  • Takako Ishikawa, Maho Haseda, Naoki Kondo, Katsunori Kondo, Sakiko Fukui
    Geriatrics & gerontology international 21(4) 345-352 2021年4月  
    AIM: There is a large discrepancy between people's preferred and actual place of death in Japan. To manage this discrepancy, this study aimed to identify the variability in preferred places of death and their associated factors among Japanese older people. METHODS: Cross-sectional survey data were collected in 2016 as part of the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study, in which 20 204 participants were asked about their preferred place of death. Logistic regression analyses were conducted to examine the final determinants for home as the preferred place of death. RESULTS: Based on survey data, 35.8% of respondents preferred home as the place of death, 42.7% preferred some sort of facility and 21.5% were unsure. Those who preferred to be at home when receiving end-of-life care were more likely to be older in age, live with others, be employed, be homeowners, have lived in their current residence for a longer period, not be vaccinated for influenza in the past year, engage in physical work or intense sports, not have participated in end-of-life discussions regarding preferred place of death, have experienced relatives dying at home, practice norms of reciprocity, have a sense of attachment to their neighborhood, receive instrumental social support, interact with neighbors and live in a rural area. CONCLUSIONS: Factors related to community attachment were associated with choosing home as the preferred place of death. To fulfill the preferences of Japanese older people, a broad range of demographic, health, behavioral, social, cultural and environmental factors should be considered. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2021; 21: 345-352.
  • Koichiro Shiba, Takuya Kawahara, Jun Aida, Katsunori Kondo, Naoki Kondo, Peter James, Mariana Arcaya, Ichiro Kawachi
    American journal of epidemiology 2021年3月17日  
    Two frequently encountered but underrecognized challenges for causal inference in studying the long-term health effects of disasters among survivors include: (a) time-varying effects of disasters on a time-to-event outcome and (b) selection bias due to selective attrition. We review approaches to overcome these challenges and show application of the approaches to a real-world longitudinal data of older adults who were directly impacted by the 2011 earthquake and tsunami (n=4,857). To illustrate the problem of time-varying effects of disasters, we examined the association between degree of damage due to the tsunami and all-cause mortality. We compared results from Cox regression assuming proportional hazards versus adjusted parametric survival curves allowing for time-varying hazard ratios. To illustrate the problem of selection bias, we examined the association between proximity to the coast (a proxy for housing damage from the tsunami) and depressive symptoms. We corrected for selection bias due to attrition in the two post-disaster follow-up surveys (conducted in 2013 and 2016) using multivariable adjustment, inverse probability censoring weighting, and survivor average causal effect estimation. Our results demonstrate that the analytic approaches ignoring time-varying effects on mortality and selection bias due to selective attrition may underestimate the long-term health effects of disasters.
  • Mariko Kanamori, Masamichi Hanazato, Katsunori Kondo, Andrew Stickley, Naoki Kondo
    BMC public health 21(1) 440-440 2021年3月4日  
    BACKGROUND: Farmers may have an increased risk for poor mental health. In connection with this, factors specific to the neighborhood environment such as farm density and the type of agriculture, might be important for mental wellbeing. In this study we aimed to clarify the cross-level interaction on depressive symptoms between farm density at the neighborhood level by type of agriculture and the longest occupation of individuals (farmer or non-farmer). METHODS: Data came from the 2016 wave of the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study (JAGES) that were linked to governmental agricultural data. Information was analyzed from 147,549 respondents aged 65 years or older, residing in 1024 neighborhoods in 39 municipalities. We calculated farm (crop or animal husbandry) density at the neighborhood level, dividing the number of agricultural management entities by the population. Three-level (individual, neighborhood, and municipality) Poisson regression analysis was used to calculate the prevalence rate ratios of depressive symptoms. RESULTS: The prevalence of depressive symptoms was higher among individuals whose longest occupation was farmer compared to non-farmer. The estimated probability of depressive symptoms by a cross-level interaction analysis showed that among farmers of both genders, those who were residing in neighborhoods where the farm density was low had a higher prevalence of depressive symptoms, regardless of the type of agriculture. The slope of the relationship between depressive symptoms and animal husbandry farm density varied by occupation, with a higher prevalence of depressive symptoms observed in male farmers compared to male non-farmers. CONCLUSIONS: The high prevalence of depressive symptoms among farmers in neighborhoods with a low farm density may reflect a scarcity of formal and informal social support in such communities. The health effects of the neighborhood environment on farmers, such as farm density, which may vary by the type of agriculture, should be further researched.
  • 北村 優, 横山 芽衣子, 辻 大士, 大野 孝司, 近藤 克則
    理学療法学 47(Suppl.1) 24-24 2021年3月  
  • 井手 一茂, 横山 芽衣子, 辻 大士, 渡邉 良太, 田近 敦子, 近藤 克則
    理学療法学 47(Suppl.1) 11-11 2021年3月  
  • Krisztina Gero, Jun Aida, Kokoro Shirai, Katsunori Kondo, Ichiro Kawachi
    Social Science & Medicine 273 113777-113777 2021年3月  
  • 田中 綾, 鵜川 重和, 佐々木 幸子, 吉村 彩, 天笠 志保, 井上 茂, 木村 尚史, 近藤 克則, 玉腰 暁子
    北海道公衆衛生学雑誌 34(2) 101-108 2021年3月  
    目的 積雪寒冷地域である北海道6町に在住する高齢者の近隣環境の認識と冬季における1日平均歩数の目標達成との関連を明らかにする。対象と方法 要介護認定を受けていない69〜78歳、569人を対象に、環境に関する自記式質問紙調査と、3軸加速度活動量計による活動量調査を行い、データの得られた457人を解析対象者とした。1日の平均歩数を厚生労働省の示す目標値によって、目標達成群(男性7,000歩以上、女性6,000歩以上)と目標未達成群に分類し分析を行った。結果 目標達成群には男性の13.1%、女性の17.2%が分類された。運動や散歩に適した公園や歩道があることはないことに比べ冬季の歩数の性別、年齢で調整した目標達成割合比は1.86(95% CI:0.92-3.74)、生鮮食料品が手に入る商店・施設・移動販売が身近にあることは、ないことに比べ0.90(95% CI:0.57-1.45)だった。考察 積雪寒冷地域であっても運動や散歩に適した公園や歩道があることで、冬季においても歩数を維持できる可能性が示唆された。(著者抄録)
  • 田中 綾, 鵜川 重和, 佐々木 幸子, 吉村 彩, 天笠 志保, 井上 茂, 木村 尚史, 近藤 克則, 玉腰 暁子
    北海道公衆衛生学雑誌 34(2) 101-108 2021年3月  
    目的 積雪寒冷地域である北海道6町に在住する高齢者の近隣環境の認識と冬季における1日平均歩数の目標達成との関連を明らかにする。対象と方法 要介護認定を受けていない69〜78歳、569人を対象に、環境に関する自記式質問紙調査と、3軸加速度活動量計による活動量調査を行い、データの得られた457人を解析対象者とした。1日の平均歩数を厚生労働省の示す目標値によって、目標達成群(男性7,000歩以上、女性6,000歩以上)と目標未達成群に分類し分析を行った。結果 目標達成群には男性の13.1%、女性の17.2%が分類された。運動や散歩に適した公園や歩道があることはないことに比べ冬季の歩数の性別、年齢で調整した目標達成割合比は1.86(95% CI:0.92-3.74)、生鮮食料品が手に入る商店・施設・移動販売が身近にあることは、ないことに比べ0.90(95% CI:0.57-1.45)だった。考察 積雪寒冷地域であっても運動や散歩に適した公園や歩道があることで、冬季においても歩数を維持できる可能性が示唆された。(著者抄録)
  • Taiji Noguchi, Masashige Saito, Jun Aida, Noriko Cable, Taishi Tsuji, Shihoko Koyama, Takaaki Ikeda, Ken Osaka, Katsunori Kondo
    BMJ Open 11(3) e045834-e045834 2021年3月  
    <sec><title>Objective</title>Social isolation is a risk factor for depression in older age. However, little is known regarding whether its impact varies depending on country-specific cultural contexts regarding social relationships. The present study examined the association of social isolation with depression onset among older adults in England, which has taken advanced measures against social isolation, and Japan, a super-aged society with a rapidly increasing number of socially isolated people. </sec><sec><title>Design</title>Prospective longitudinal study. </sec><sec><title>Setting</title>We used data from two ongoing studies: the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) and the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study (JAGES). </sec><sec><title>Participants</title>Older adults aged ≥65 years without depression at baseline were followed up regarding depression onset for 2 years (2010/2011–2012/2013) for the ELSA and 2.5 years (2010/2011–2013) for the JAGES. </sec><sec><title>Primary outcome measure</title>Depression was assessed with eight items from the Centre for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale for the ELSA and Geriatric Depression Scale for the JAGES. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate social isolation using multiple parameters (marital status; interaction with children, relatives and friends; and social participation). </sec><sec><title>Results</title>The data of 3331 respondents from the ELSA and 33 127 from the JAGES were analysed. Multivariable logistic regression analysis demonstrated that social isolation was significantly associated with depression onset in both countries. In the ELSA, poor interaction with children was marginally associated with depression onset, while in the JAGES, poor interaction with children and no social participation significantly affected depression onset. </sec><sec><title>Conclusions</title>Despite variations in cultural background, social isolation was associated with depression onset in both England and Japan. Addressing social isolation to safeguard older adults’ mental health must be globally prioritised. </sec>
  • Wen Zhang, Taishi Tsuji, Meiko Yokoyama, Kazushige Ide, Jun Aida, Ichiro Kawachi, Katsunori Kondo
    Social Science & Medicine 113827-113827 2021年3月  
  • Yukako Tani, Masamichi Hanazato, Takeo Fujiwara, Norimichi Suzuki, Katsunori Kondo
    American journal of epidemiology 190(7) 1270-1280 2021年2月19日  
    Sidewalks are indispensable environmental resources for daily life in that they encourage physical activity. However, the percentage of sidewalks installation is low even in developed countries. We examined the association between neighborhood sidewalk environment and dementia in Japan. We conducted a 3-year follow-up (2010-2013) among participants in a Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study, a population-based cohort study of community-dwelling older adults. We ascertained the incidence of dementia for 76,053 participants from the public long-term care insurance system. We calculated sidewalk coverage (sidewalk area as a percentage of road area) within 436 residential neighborhood units using the geographic information system. Multilevel survival models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) for the incidence of dementia. During the follow-up, 5310 dementia cases were found. In urban areas, compared with the lowest quartile for sidewalk coverage, the HR was 0.42 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.33-0.54) for the highest quartile, adjusting for individual covariates. After successive adjustments for other neighborhood factors (land slope, numbers of hospitals, grocery stores, parks, stations and bus stops, education level, and unemployment rate), the HR remained statistically significant (HR=0.75, 95% CI: 0.59-0.94). Living in neighborhoods with high sidewalks installation was associated with low dementia incidence in urban areas.
  • Koryu Sato, Naoki Kondo, Chiyoe Murata, Yugo Shobugawa, Kousuke Saito, Katsunori Kondo
    Journal of epidemiology 2021年2月6日  
    BACKGROUND: Increasing the coverage of vaccinations recommended by the World Health Organization in the older adult population is an urgent issue, especially in the context of avoiding co-epidemics during the current coronavirus disease 2019 crisis. The aim of this study was to examine factors associated with the quality of perceived patient-physician communication and whether this variable was associated with increased odds of vaccination. METHODS: We used cross-sectional data from the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study conducted from October 2016 to January 2017. The participants were 22,253 physically and cognitively independent individuals aged 65 or older living in 39 municipalities in Japan. Multilevel logit models were used to estimate the odds of vaccination. RESULTS: Among the participants, 40.0% and 58.8% had received pneumococcal and influenza vaccinations as per the recommended schedule, respectively. People with low educational levels were more likely to have a family physician but rate their experience in asking questions lower than those with higher educational levels. Having a family physician and high rating for physicians' listening attitude were positively associated with increased odds of pneumococcal and influenza vaccinations. High rating for patients' questioning attitude and shared decision-making, compared to an ambiguous attitude toward medical decision-making, were positively associated with increased odds of pneumococcal vaccination. CONCLUSION: The results suggest that promotion of having a family physician, better patient-physician communication, and shared decision-making may encourage older adults to undergo recommended vaccinations.
  • Ayaka Igarashi, Jun Aida, Tatsuo Yamamoto, Yoshimune Hiratsuka, Katsunori Kondo, Ken Osaka
    Journal of epidemiology and community health 75(2) 171-176 2021年2月  
    BACKGROUND: Difficulties in communication due to vision, hearing and tooth loss have a serious impact on health. We compared the association between and attribution of each of these factors on social interaction. METHODS: This cross-sectional study examined data from the 2016 Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study (n=22 295) on community-dwelling people aged ≥65 years in Japan. The dependent variable was the frequency of meeting friends as a measure of social interaction, and less-than-monthly was defined as fewer social interactions. The independent variables were self-reported degrees of vision, hearing (5-point Likert scale) and tooth loss (five categories), with 'poor' or '0 teeth' defined as the worst category. Sex, age, educational attainment, comorbidity and residential area were used as covariates. Poisson regression analysis with multiple imputations was used to estimate the prevalence ratios (PRs) of fewer social interactions by each status. Subsequently, the population attributable fraction (PAF) was calculated to assess the public health impact. RESULTS: The number of participants with fewer social interactions was 5622 (26.9%). Proportions of fewer social interactions among those with the worst vision, hearing and number of teeth categories were 48.7%, 40.1% and 32.0%, respectively. Their corresponding PRs of fewer social interactions were 1.72 (95% CI 0.97 to 3.05), 1.35 (95% CI 0.99 to 1.85) and 1.23 (95% CI 1.10 to 1.37), respectively. The total PAF for vision, hearing and number of teeth was 8.3%, 5.0% and 6.4%, respectively. CONCLUSION: Self-reported vision, hearing and tooth loss were associated with fewer social interactions. The magnitude of these impairments was largest in vision, followed by tooth and hearing loss.
  • Sakura Kiuchi, Taro Kusama, Kemmyo Sugiyama, Takafumi Yamamoto, Upul Cooray, Tatsuo Yamamoto, Katsunori Kondo, Ken Osaka, Jun Aida
    Journal of epidemiology 32(7) 330-336 2021年1月30日  
    BackgroundAlthough the feasibility of randomized trials for investigating the long-term association between oral health and cognitive decline is low, deriving causal inferences from observational data is challenging. We aimed to investigate the association between poor oral status and subjective cognitive complaints (SCC) using fixed-effects model to eliminate the confounding effect of unobserved time-invariant factors.MethodsWe used data from Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study (JAGES) which was conducted in 2010, 2013, and 2016. β regression coefficients (95% confidence intervals) were calculated using fixed-effects models to determine the effect of deteriorating oral status on developing SCC. Onset of SCC was evaluated using the Kihon Checklist-Cognitive function score. Four oral status variables were used: awareness of swallowing difficulty, decline in masticatory function, dry mouth, and number of teeth.Results13,594 participants (55.8% women) without SCC at baseline were included. The mean age was 72.4 (SD = 5.1) for men and 72.4 (SD=4.9) for women. Within the 6-year follow-up, 26.6% of men and 24.9% of women developed SCC. The probability of developing SCC was significantly higher when participants acquired swallowing difficulty (β= 0.088; 0.065-0.111 for men, β= 0.077; 0.057-0.097 for women), decline in masticatory function (β=0.039; 0.021-0.057 for men, β= 0.030; 0.013-0.046 for women), dry mouth (β= 0.026; 0.005-0.048 for men, β= 0.064; 0.045-0.083 for women), and tooth loss (β= 0.043; 0.001-0.085 for men, β= 0.058; 0.015-0.102 for women).ConclusionsThe findings suggest that good oral health needs to be maintained to prevent the development of SCC, which increases the risk for future dementia.
  • Hiroyuki Hikichi, Jun Aida, Katsunori Kondo, Ichiro Kawachi
    Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 118(2) e2014226118-e2014226118 2021年1月12日  
    Studies examining the long-term health consequences of residential displacement following large-scale disasters remain sparse. Following the 2011 Japan Earthquake and Tsunami, victims who lost their homes were resettled by two primary means: 1) group relocation to public housing or 2) individual relocation, in which victims moved into public housing by lottery or arranged for their own accommodation. Little is known about how the specific method of residential relocation affects survivors’ health. We examined the association between residential relocation and long-term changes in mental and physical well-being. Our baseline assessment predated the disaster by 7 mo. Two follow-up surveys were conducted ∼2.5 y and 5.5 y after the disaster to ascertain the long-term association between housing arrangement and health status. Group relocation was associated with increased body mass index and depressive symptoms at 2.5-y follow-up but was no longer significantly associated with these outcomes at 5.5-y follow-up. Individual relocation at each follow-up survey was associated with lower instrumental activities of daily living as well as higher risk of cognitive impairment. Our findings underscore the potential complexity of long-term outcomes associated with residential displacement, indicating both positive and negative impacts on mental versus physical dimensions of health.
  • Mayumi Hirosaki, Tetsuya Ohira, Kokoro Shirai, Naoki Kondo, Jun Aida, Tatsuo Yamamoto, Kenji Takeuchi, Katsunori Kondo
    Quality of life research : an international journal of quality of life aspects of treatment, care and rehabilitation 30(6) 1561-1569 2021年1月11日  
    PURPOSE: Oral health has been reported to have an impact on the activities of daily life such as chewing, eating, and laughing, while psychological factors such as depression and loneliness have been reported to affect oral health. Little is known, however, about the association between laughter and oral health in older adults. This study examined the bidirectional association between the frequency of daily laughter and oral health in community-dwelling older Japanese adults. METHODS: Our cross-sectional study employed data from the 2013 Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study's self-reported survey, which included 11,239 male and 12,799 female community-dwelling independent individuals aged 65 years or older. We defined the oral health status by the number of remaining teeth. The association between the self-reported frequency of laughter (almost every day, 1-5 days per week, 1-3 days per month, or almost never) and oral health was examined using logistic regression analysis. RESULTS: The participants with 10 or more teeth were significantly more likely to laugh compared with the edentulous participants, after adjusting for all covariates. Compared with those who almost never laughed, those who laughed 1-5 days per week were significantly less likely to be edentulous. After stratifying by sex, similar results were found only in the men for both analyses. CONCLUSION: There was a significant bidirectional association between frequency of laughter and oral health that was independent of socioeconomic and lifestyle factors among older adults.
  • Taishi Tsuji, Satoru Kanamori, Yasuhiro Miyaguni, Katsunori Kondo
    International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 18(2) 531-531 2021年1月10日  
    This study validates the relationship between community-level sports group participation and the frequency of leaving the house and transtheoretical model stages of behavior change for exercise among older individuals who did not participate in a sports group. We used cross-sectional data from the 2016 Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study. The proportion of sports group participants at the community level was calculated using the data from 157,233 older individuals living in 1000 communities. We conducted a multilevel regression analysis to examine the relationship between the proportion of sports group participants and the frequency of leaving the house (1 day/week or less) and the transtheoretical model stages of behavior change for exercise. A statistically significant relationship was observed between a high prevalence of sports group participation and lower risk of homeboundness (odds ratio: 0.94) and high transtheoretical model stages (partial regression coefficient: 0.06) as estimated by 10 percentage points of participation proportion. Older individuals, even those not participating in a sports group, living in a community with a high prevalence of sports group participation are less likely to be homebound; they are highly interested and have numerous opportunities to engage in exercise.
  • Megumi Nishida, Masamichi Hanazato, Chie Koga, Katsunori Kondo
    International journal of environmental research and public health 18(2) 2021年1月9日  
    Depression among older adults is one of the most critical public health issues. The proximity of elementary schools has been positively associated with neighborhood social cohesion and quality of life. However, no studies have identified an association between the proximity of elementary school and older adults' mental health. Therefore, this study aimed to examine the association between the proximity of elementary schools, one of the core facilities of neighborhood communities in Japan, and depression in older adults. A total of 131,871 participants (63,430 men 73.7 ± 6.1 years, 68,441 women 73.8 ± 6.2 years) were analyzed from the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study (JAGES) 2016 survey. Logistic regression analysis showed that there was no association between distance to elementary school and depression among males. However, among females, compared with the participants living within 400 m from the nearest elementary school, the odds ratio of depression for those living between 400 and 799 m and more than 800 m away were 1.06 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.00-1.12) and 1.07 (95% CI 1.00-1.15), respectively. The findings may be useful when considering the design of communities around elementary schools and the planning of facilities as a population-based approach to promote mental health of older women.
  • Masato Nagai, Tetsuya Ohira, Kokoro Shirai, Katsunori Kondo
    BMJ open 11(1) e039363 2021年1月7日  
    OBJECTIVE: Several studies have reported that laughter is associated with health benefits. In addition, social interactions, such as social relationships, social participation and so forth, have shown the association with not only health but also individual emotion. In this study, we conducted a cross-sectional study to examine the association between variety of social interactions and the frequency of laughter. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. SETTING: Sampled from 30 municipalities in Japan. PARTICIPANTS: Non-disabled Japanese men (n=11 439) and women (n=13 159) aged ≥65 years using data from the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study, which was conducted during October to December in 2013. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES: Laughing almost every day by self-reported questionnaire. RESULTS: Poisson regression analysis with robust error variance was used to calculate prevalence ratios (PRs) for laughing almost every day according to each social relationship and its potential community-level environmental determinants. The prevalence of laughing almost every day tended to increase with increased variety in each social interaction after adjusting, instrumental activities of daily living, number of living together, working status, depression, self-reported economic status and residence year. Among men and women, multivariate-adjusted PRs (95% CIs) by comparing participants with the highest and lowest categories were 1.18 (1.04 to 1.35) and 1.16 (1.04 to 1.29) in positive life events; 1.26 (1.10 to 1.45) and 1.09 (0.96 to 1.24) in perceived positive changes in the area; 1.15 (1.04 to 1.28) and 1.17 (1.07 to 1.28) in social participations; 2.23 (1.57 to 3.16) and 1.47 (1.02 to 2.12) in social relationships and 1.25 (1.08 to 1.45) and 1.29 (1.15 to 1.45) in positive built environments. These associations were also preserved after the restriction of participants who were not in depression. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows that a greater variety of each social relationships and the potential community-level environmental determinants are associated with higher frequencies of laughter in Japan.
  • 王 鶴群, 辻 大士, Ling Ling, 井手 一茂, 近藤 克則
    Journal of Epidemiology 31(Suppl.1) 107-107 2021年1月  
  • Lingling, Taishi Tsuji, Yuiko Nagamine, Yasuhiro Miyaguni, Katsunori Kondo
    [Nihon koshu eisei zasshi] Japanese journal of public health 68(12) 925-925 2021年  
  • 中村 美詠子, 尾島 俊之, 岡田 栄作, 近藤 克則
    Journal of Epidemiology 31(Suppl.) 133-133 2021年1月  
  • 冨士 佳弘, 坂庭 嶺人, 白井 こころ, 斎藤 民, 鵜川 重和, 磯 博康, 近藤 克則
    理学療法学Supplement 48 E-87_2-E-87_2 2021年  
  • S. Kiuchi, U. Cooray, T. Kusama, T. Yamamoto, H. Abbas, N. Nakazawa, K. Kondo, K. Osaka, J. Aida
    Journal of Dental Research 101(4) 420-427 2021年  
    Some modifiable risk factors for dementia are closely related to oral health. Although eating and speaking abilities are fundamental oral functions, limited studies have focused on the effect of malnutrition and lack of social interaction between oral health and dementia. We investigated the mediating effects of nutritional and social factors on the association between the number of teeth and the incidence of dementia. This 6-y cohort study used data from the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study targeting older adults aged 65 y and above. The number of teeth (exposure) and covariates in 2010 (baseline survey), mediators (weight loss, vegetable and fruit intake, homeboundness, social network) in 2013, and the onset of dementia (outcome) between 2013 and 2016 were obtained. The Karlson–Holm–Breen mediation method was applied. A total of 35,744 participants were included (54.0% women). The mean age at baseline was 73.1 ± 5.5 y for men and 73.2 ± 5.5 y for women. A total of 1,776 participants (5.0%) had dementia during the follow-up period. There was a significant total effect of the number of teeth on the onset of dementia (hazard ratio, 1.14; 95% CI, 1.01–1.28). Controlling for nutritional and social mediators, the effect of the number of teeth was reduced to 1.10 (95% CI, 0.98–1.25), leaving an indirect effect of 1.03 (95% CI, 1.02–1.04). In the sex-stratified analysis, the proportion mediated by weight loss was 6.35% for men and 4.07% for women. The proportions mediated by vegetable and fruit intake and homeboundness were 4.44% and 4.83% for men and 8.45% and 0.93% for women, respectively. Furthermore, the proportion mediated by social networks was 13.79% for men and 4.00% for women. Tooth loss was associated with the onset of dementia. Nutritional and social factors partially mediated this association.
  • 小嶋 雅代, 上地 香杜, 安岡 実佳子, 飯塚 玄明, 勝山 陽太, 尾島 俊之, 近藤 克則
    Journal of Epidemiology 31(Suppl.) 97-97 2021年1月  
  • 安岡 実佳子, 小嶋 雅代, 上地 香杜, 尾島 俊之, 近藤 克則
    Journal of Epidemiology 31(Suppl.) 134-134 2021年1月  
  • 小島 令嗣, 鵜川 重和, 横道 洋司, 田中 綾, 木村 尚史, 天笠 志保, 井上 茂, 近藤 克則, 玉腰 暁子
    Journal of Epidemiology 31(Suppl.) 134-134 2021年1月  
  • Satoru Kanamori, Naoki Kondo, Tomoko Takamiya, Hiroyuki Kikuchi, Shigeru Inoue, Taishi Tsuji, Yuko Kai, Go Muto, Katsunori Kondo
    Journal of occupational health 63(1) e12216 2021年1月  
    OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to examine the relationship between social participation (type/pattern) and mortality according to company size of the longest-held job among older men in Japan who have worked in the company. METHODS: Longitudinal data from the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study were used in this study. Functionally independent individuals aged 65 years and older in Japan were surveyed. Work and community organizations (local community, hobbies, and sports) were used as social participation. A Cox proportional hazards model was used to calculate mortality hazard ratios. RESULTS: Analysis was carried out on 19 260 participants. A total of 2870 deaths occurred during the 6-year follow-up period. Those in companies with 49 or fewer employees had the highest prevalence of work participation and the lowest participation in any community organization. Regardless of company size, the mortality risk was significantly lower for participants in any social participation (eg, the hazard ratio for participation in a hobby organization among those with a company size of 49 employees or fewer was 0.74, 95% CI: 0.65-0.85) compared to nonparticipants whose company size was 49 or fewer employees. CONCLUSIONS: In Japan, although older men who have worked for small companies may have fewer benefits, their social participation may reduce their mortality risks. To avoid increasing health inequalities, it is necessary to create an environment in which they are more likely to participate in social activities.
  • Yuki Moriki, Maho Haseda, Naoki Kondo, Toshiyuki Ojima, Katsunori Kondo, Sakiko Fukui
    The American journal of hospice & palliative care 38(1) 54-61 2021年1月  
    In Japan, many adults prefer to die at home; however, few have their preferences actually come true. While discussions regarding place of death preferences (DPDPs) are important for older adults, they are poorly documented. Therefore, we investigated the factors associated with older Japanese men and women having DPDPs. We used cross-sectional survey data collected for the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study (JAGES). We applied multivariable logistic regression analysis to calculate the odds ratio (ORs) of having DPDPs separately between men (n = 2,770) and women (n = 3,038) aged ≥ 75 years. We considered 17 potential factors associated with having DPDPs, which were classified as either demographic, healthcare, family, or community factors. Among participants, 50.1% had DPDPs: 1,288 men (44.3%) and 1,619 women (55.7%). Older adults, DPDPs were associated with 5 additional factors; e.g. having a primary care physician (ORs = 1.47 [men] and 1.45 [women]), as were those who gave family and friends advice (ORs = 1.26 [men] and 1.62 [women]), and having people who listened to their concerns (ORs = 1.70 [men] and 1.81 [women]). Among men, DPDPs were associated with 3 additional factors; e.g. humorous conversations with their spouse (OR = 1.60). Among women, only one factor-reading newspapers (OR = 1.43) was associated with having DPDPs. Social networks with primary care physicians, family members, and friends may be important factors in promoting DPDPs. These gender-based differences in older adults relating to DPDPs should be considered when developing interventions to promote advance care planning that includes DPDPs.
  • Masashige Saito, Jun Aida, Noriko Cable, Paola Zaninotto, Takaaki Ikeda, Taishi Tsuji, Shihoko Koyama, Taiji Noguchi, Ken Osaka, Katsunori Kondo
    Geriatrics & Gerontology International 2020年12月21日  
  • Miho Nishigaki, Masamichi Hanazato, Chie Koga, Katsunori Kondo
    International journal of environmental research and public health 17(24) 2020年12月11日  
    Depression in older adults is a public health challenge. We aimed to clarify the relationship between depression in older adults and three types of neighborhood greenspaces: trees, grasslands, and fields. We utilized data from the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study (JAGES) performed in 2016. Multilevel logistic regression analysis was used for non-stratified and stratified analyses for the urban-rural regions. The target population comprised 126,878 older adults (age ≥ 65 years) who responded to the depression questions and were living in 881 neighborhoods in Japan. Depression was diagnosed based on a Geriatric Depression Scale score ≥5, and 20.4% of the study population had depression. In the pre-stratification analysis, areas with more greenspaces revealed lower odds of depression (odds ratio (OR) 0.95, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.85-0.95). In urban areas, more trees correlated with lower odds of depression (OR 0.94, 95% CI 0.89-1.00). In rural areas, moderate amounts of grassland were associated with lower odds of depression compared to areas with fewer grasslands (OR 0.91, 95% CI 0.83-1.00). We found that urban areas with higher tree density and rural areas with moderate amounts of grassland were associated with lower odds of depression.
  • Chie Koga, Taishi Tsuji, Masamichi Hanazato, Norimichi Suzuki, Katsunori Kondo
    Journal of Interpersonal Violence 088626052096713-088626052096713 2020年12月7日  
    Elder abuse is a serious public health concern that increases the risks of negative health outcomes globally. It is well known that abuse in older adults is associated with depression; however, longitudinal studies investigating the causal relationship between these events are scarce. Because the cause precedes the result over time, the temporal relationships between abuse and depression should be verified from each direction. This longitudinal study, therefore, investigated and clarified whether depression causes or results from elder abuse among older Japanese adults. Two longitudinal analyses were conducted using data derived from the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study. The data were collected in 2010 and 2013 through a mail survey of 1,737 people (983 females, 754 males) across Japan. Of those who did not experience abuse in 2010, 38 (5.0%) males and 53 (5.4%) females newly experienced abuse in 2013. Among respondents who did not have depressive symptoms in 2010, 60 (8.0%) males and 61 (6.2%) females newly reported depressive symptoms in 2013. After adjusting for demographic factors in Analysis 1, people who experienced abuse were 2.28-fold (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.68–3.09) more likely to have depressive symptoms three years later than those who were not abused. In Analysis 2, respondents who had mild or severe depression in 2010 were 2.23-fold (95% CI = 1.61–3.10) more likely to have experienced abuse after three years than those who did not have depression. After adjusting for several demographic factors, the results showed that abuse can lead to depression and that depression can be a cause of abuse. Therefore, preventing abuse should be considered from both directions.
  • Atsushi Sannabe, Jun Aida, Yuri Wada, Yukinobu Ichida, Katsunori Kondo, Ichiro Kawachi
    Japan and the World Economy 56 2020年12月1日  
    The Great East Japan Earthquake created health hazards for many people. Using Panel Data gathered in Iwanuma city, Japan, at two points in time (in 2010 before the quake, and in 2013 after the quake), we found that the high degree of housing damage negatively affected victims’ self rated health (SRH) (direct effect), and decreased the levels of their social connections, which in turn also had a harmful effect on their SRH (indirect effect). We also found that although the direct impacts of earthquakes disappear relatively quickly, the harmful indirect effects associated with a decrease in social connections are slower to dissipate. We conducted a first-difference two-step GMM estimation to consider the possible problem of endogeneity. The results support the above conclusion, and show that in the short-term, the indirect impacts of the earthquake accounted for 55 % of all the impacts experienced.
  • Krisztina Gero, Jun Aida, Katsunori Kondo, Ichiro Kawachi
    JAMA network open 3(11) e2021166 2020年11月2日  
    Importance: Trust is a core component of social cohesion, facilitating cooperation and collective action in the face of adversity and enabling survivors to remain resilient. Residential stability is an important prerequisite of developing trusting relations among community members. However, little is known about whether the movement of internally displaced persons (IDPs) after a disaster might change community relations. Objective: We explored perceived changes in trust within 1 community directly impacted by the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami. Design, Setting, and Participants: This prospective cohort study examined survey data from 3594 residents of Iwanuma City, Japan, aged 65 years or older. Data were obtained from the Iwanuma Study-part of the Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study, a nationwide cohort study established in 2010-approximately 7 months before the disaster. All Iwanuma City residents age 65 years or older (8576 residents) were eligible to participate in 2010. The response rate was 59.0% (5058 residents). A follow-up survey was conducted in 2013, approximately 2.5 years after the disaster. Of the 4380 remaining participants who answered the baseline survey, 3594 were recontacted (follow-up rate, 82.1%). Data analysis was performed from July 1, 2019, to January 9, 2020. Exposures: The number of temporarily relocated Iwanuma City survivors within 100 m and 250 m of a nonrelocated resident's home address. Main Outcomes and Measures: Perceived changes in particularized trust (ie, trusting people from the same community) and generalized trust (trusting people from other communities) measured on a 5-point Likert scale. Results: Among 3250 nonrelocated residents (1808 [55.6%] women; mean [SD] age, 76.5 [6.2] years) of Iwanuma City included in the analytic sample, multivariable-adjusted multinomial logistic regression analyses found that each standard deviation increase in the influx of internally displaced persons (1 SD = 11 IDPs) within 250 m of a resident's home address was associated with higher odds of a decrease in the resident's particularized and generalized trust (odds ratio, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.04-1.32). Conclusions and Relevance: The influx of IDPs in the host community appeared to be associated with an erosion of trust among locals. To avoid the erosion of social cohesion after a disaster, it may be crucial to provide opportunities for social interaction between old and new residents of communities.
  • LINGLING, 辻 大士, 長嶺 由衣子, 宮國 康弘, 近藤 克則
    日本公衆衛生雑誌 67(11) 800-810 2020年11月  査読有り
    目的 超高齢社会において、認知症予防は重要な課題である。先行研究では、趣味を有する高齢者は認知症リスクが低く園芸、観光、スポーツ系の趣味を行っている者では認知症リスクが低いと報告されている。しかし、趣味の種類の数が増えれば効果も上乗せされるのか、またたとえばスポーツ系の中でも種類によって認知症の発症リスクが異なるのかは明らかでない。本研究の目的は、趣味の種類および数と認知症発症との関連を、約6年間の大規模縦断データを用いて明らかにすることである。方法 日本老年学的評価研究(JAGES)が2010年に実施した要介護認定を受けていない高齢者を対象とした調査の回答者で、年齢と性に欠損がない56,624人を6年間追跡した。趣味の質問に有効回答が得られた者のうち、追跡期間が365日未満の者を除く49,705人を分析対象者とした。アウトカムの認知症発症は、365日以降の認知症を伴う要介護認定の発生と定義した。実践者割合が5%以上の趣味の種類(男性14種類、女性11種類)およびその数(0~5種類以上)を説明変数とし、基本属性、疾患、健康行動、社会的サポート、心理・認知機能、手段的日常生活動作能力の計22変数を調整したCox比例ハザードモデルを用いハザード比(HR)を算出した。結果 追跡期間中に4,758人(9.6%)に認知症を伴う要介護認定が発生した。男女いずれも、認知症リスク(HR)はグラウンド・ゴルフ(男:0.80、女:0.80)、旅行(男:0.80、女:0.76)を趣味としている者において、それらが趣味ではない者と比較して低かった。さらに男性ではゴルフ(0.61)、パソコン(0.65)、釣り(0.81)、写真撮影(0.83)、女性では手工芸(0.73)、園芸・庭いじり(0.85)を趣味とする者で低かった。男女ともに趣味の種類の数が多くなるほど認知症発症リスクが低くなる有意なトレンドが確認された(男:0.84、女:0.78)。結論 男女ともグラウンド・ゴルフ、旅行が趣味の者では認知症リスクが低く、また趣味の種類の数が増えるほどリスクは低下することが示唆された。本研究で有意な関連が見られた趣味の種類を中心に、高齢者が多様な趣味を実践できる環境づくりが、認知症予防を効果的に進めるうえで重要であることが示唆された。(著者抄録)
  • 尾島 俊之, 細川 陸也, 相田 潤, 近藤 克則, 近藤 尚己
    日本循環器病予防学会誌 55(3) 224-224 2020年11月  
  • U. Cooray, J. Aida, R. G. Watt, G. Tsakos, A. Heilmann, H. Kato, S. Kiuchi, K. Kondo, K. Osaka
    Journal of Dental Research 99(12) 1356-1362 2020年11月1日  
    © International & American Associations for Dental Research 2020. Despite their prevalence and burdens, oral diseases are neglected in universal health coverage. In Japan, a 30% copayment (out of pocket) by the user and a 70% contribution by Japan’s universal health insurance (JUHI) are required for dental and medical services. From the age of 70 y, an additional 10% is offered by JUHI (copayment, 20%; JUHI, 80%). This study aimed to investigate the effect of cost on dental service use among older adults under the current JUHI system. A regression discontinuity quasi-experimental method was used to investigate the causal effect of the JUHI discount policy on dental visits based on cross-sectional data. Data were derived from the 2016 Japan Gerontological Evaluation Study. This analysis contained 7,161 participants who used JUHI, were aged 68 to 73 y, and responded to questions regarding past dental visits. Analyses were controlled for age, sex, number of teeth, and equalized household income. Mean ± SD age was 72.1 ± 0.79 y for the discount-eligible group and 68.9 ± 0.78 y for the noneligible group. During the past 12 mo, significantly more discount-eligible participants had visited dental services than noneligible participants (66.0% vs. 62.1% for treatment visits, 57.7% vs. 53.1% for checkups). After controlling for covariates, the effect of discount eligibility was significant on dental treatment visits (odds ratio [OR], 1.36; 95% CI, 1.32 to 1.40) and dental checkups (OR, 1.49; 95% CI, 1.44 to 1.54) in the regression discontinuity analysis. Similar findings were observed in triangular kernel-weighted models (OR, 1.38 [95% CI, 1.34 to 1.44]; OR, 1.52 [95% CI, 1.47 to 1.56], respectively). JUHI copayment discount policy increases oral health service utilization among older Japanese. The price elasticity for dental checkup visits appears to be higher than for dental treatment visits. Hence, reforming the universal health coverage system to improve the affordability of relatively inexpensive preventive care could increase dental service utilization in Japan.
  • Koichiro Shiba, Jun Aida, Katsunori Kondo, Atsushi Nakagomi, Mariana Arcaya, Peter James, Ichiro Kawachi
    Health and Place 66 2020年11月  
    © 2020 Elsevier Ltd The underlying mechanism for deterioration in cardiometabolic health after major natural disasters is unknown. We leveraged natural experiment data stemming from the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami (n = 1165) to examine whether specific types of post-disaster accommodations explain the association between disaster-related property damage and objectively measured cardiometabolic profiles of older disaster survivors. Causal mediation analysis showed that relocation to trailer-style temporary shelters largely mediated the associations between home loss and unhealthy changes in anthropometric measures (72.6% of 0.65 kg/m2 for body mass index and 62.3% of 3.89 cm for waist circumference), but it did not mediate the associations with serum lipid measures. This study demonstrates that there are outcome-specific pathways linking disaster damage and health of survivors.
  • Takaaki Ikeda, Jun Aida, Ichiro Kawachi, Katsunori Kondo, Ken Osaka
    Social Science and Medicine 264 2020年11月  
    © 2020 The Authors Socioeconomic disadvantage is a risk factor for arthritis, but its causal relationship remains unclear. This study examined the causal relationship between socioeconomic circumstances and new-onset arthritis by taking advantage of the “natural experiment” that resulted from the Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami. The baseline survey was conducted in August 2010, 7 months before the disaster. Self-reported questionnaires were mailed to all eligible residents of Iwanuma City in Miyagi Prefecture. The earthquake and tsunami occurred on March 11, 2011. The follow-up survey was conducted in October 2013, as well as the gathering of information about disaster damage (housing damage and subjective deterioration of economic circumstances) and health-related information. We used a two-stage least squares instrumental variable model to analyze 2360 survivors who did not have arthrosis at baseline, of whom 95 (4.0%) developed arthritis over the 2.5-year follow-up period. We used the linear probability model for the estimations. Our results revealed that both the subjective deterioration of economic circumstances and housing damage were associated with the development of arthritis (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.08 [0.03–0.12] and 0.02 [0.01–0.04], respectively). In addition, we also found that the disruption of access to orthopedics was associated with the development of arthritis. Our findings added robust evidence of the causal relationship between worsening economic circumstances and the development of arthritis. Our study emphasized the importance of recovery as well as the establishment of the post-disaster orthopedic medical system in the aftermath of a disaster.
  • Koichiro Shiba, Masamichi Hanazato, Jun Aida, Katsunori Kondo, Mariana Arcaya, Peter James, Ichiro Kawachi
    EPIDEMIOLOGY 31(6) 758-767 2020年11月  
    Background: The association between neighborhood environment and health may be biased due to confounding by residential self-selection. The displacement of disaster victims can act as a natural experiment that exposes residents to neighborhood environments they did not select, allowing for the study of neighborhood effects on health. Methods: We leveraged data from a cohort of older adults 65 years of age or older living in Iwanuma, Japan, located 80 km west of the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake and Tsunami. Surveys were conducted 7 months before the disaster, as well as 2.5 and 5.5 years afterward, and linked with medical records. We classified each individual's type of exposure to neighborhood environment based on proximity to local food and recreation destinations and walkability. Results: Fixed-effect models indicated that change in the exposure type from low to high urban density was associated with increased body mass index (0.46 kg/m(2); 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.20, 0.73), waist circumference (1.8 cm; 95% CI = 0.56, 3.0), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (11 mg/dl; 95% CI = 5.0, 17), and decreased high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (-3.1 mg/dl; 95% CI = -5.0, -1.3). We observed similar trends when we analyzed only the individuals who experienced postdisaster relocation to temporary homes. Conclusions: Increased proximity to food outlets was simultaneously correlated with greater walkability and accessibility to recreational destinations; however, any protective association of physical activity-promoting built environment appeared to be offset by proximity to unhealthy food outlets, especially fast-food restaurants and bars.
  • Rikuya Hosokawa, Toshiyuki Ojima, Tomoya Myojin, Jun Aida, Katsunori Kondo, Naoki Kondo
    International journal of environmental research and public health 17(20) 2020年10月16日  
    Due to an error during production, the legend of Figure 2 in the published paper [...].

MISC

 859

主要な書籍等出版物

 51

講演・口頭発表等

 233

共同研究・競争的資金等の研究課題

 63